Karl Rove’s New Prediction Map Shows Obama With Edge

Rove’s map should have us all wide awake and paying attention.

 
Barack Obama delivers a speech at the Universi...

I constantly hear tea party activists make matter-of-fact claims that Obama will lose in November. I constantly ask those individuals to use caution when making such statements. For the record, I believe Barack Obama still holds the upper hand in November and I think he’s going to be very tough to defeat. It’s not impossible, but it’s not a given. Not by any stretch.

And before you comment this is the GOP’s fault for giving us Mitt Romney, let me say I think this would have been the case no matter who we have as a candidate. I was a Herman Cain guy, but even if my pick had won we would be facing a big uphill fight. Defeating incumbents is always extraordinarily hard to do, especially when it’s someone who has convinced half the country to like him, even when he isn’t doing a good job.

I take a very cautiously optimistic approach. My outlook on the POTUS general election is one more filled with unknown outcomes. This is why we have so many toss-up states listed on our tracking site at VoterTeaParty.com. See the map below.

Our map is much different than that of Karl Rove.

Rove bases his map on actual polling and voter ID data. Which is what makes it somewhat frightening. I find it interesting that Rove places Ohio in the lean Obama column. This is certainly possible and  I would have to agree that Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania are likely to slightly favor Obama at this point. I wonder, however, that if you’re to turn toss-ups like Ohio into a slightly favor state for Obama, why would you not do the same for Iowa and the Carolina’s for Romney? I’ve seen some data in those states that suggest Obama will have a next to impossible time grabbing their electoral votes this time around.

Either way, Rove’s map should have us all wide awake. It’s a harsh reminder that this thing is leaning against us and we’ve got a lot of work to do if we want to remove Obama from office in November.

-Eric Odom

P.S. If I had to make a prediction map today, this would be it.

Obama – 280

Romney – 258

 
  • http://www.mailmagazine24.com Bright Knight

    I don’t get it, that there are still so many brain-midgets out there who would vote for the Divider in Chief.

    But it confirms my theory (actually it’s not my theory, it’s a fact), that are two kinds of people at Socialism: the ones without heart and the ones without brain. The ones without heart are the people like the (D)Evil Soros, Buffet, Obama, etc., the “elite”, who make the rules, who have the power, who live like the kings and have whatever they want. The ones without brain are the ones who make this crap happen by voting the Socialists into the Offices. Sometimes the ones without heart don’t have brain either…

    Anyways: If the unborn nowhereman gets a second term, America is done and gone. The only hope is, that some States secede and build a new Union and I’ll gladly rent a U-haul to move in one of these States, because I know, that my State (as a swing state) will not secede. With the Divider in Chief for another 4 years, we don’t have a Union anymore anyways, so why not a divorce: Conservative States vs. Liberal States and in 10 years we’ll check which part is better off. I have an educated guess…

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100000515914040 Christine Puliselic

    It’s too soon to pick a winner.

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100000760361870 Trisha Knight Gardner

    I would be interested in seeing a prediction on the Senate….. our only hope if Obama wins a 2nd term is to control House and Senate….

    • http://www.mailmagazine24.com Bright Knight

      Having Senate and House will not help us at all. The Divider in Chief will govern his way and push his agenda with Presidential Executive Orders – one every week. And he will sneak around the Congress as he did with Crap and Fake (f.k.a. Cap and Trade). If the unborn nowhereman gets a second term, America is done and gone. The only hope is, that some States secede and build a new Union and I’ll gladly rent a U-haul to move in one of these States, because I know, that my State (as a swing state) will not secede. With the Divider in Chief foe another 4 years, we don’t have a Union anymore anyways, so why not a divorce: Conservative States vs. Liberal States and in 10 years we’ll check which part is better off. I have an educated guess…

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100001337448377 Dorothy Slattery

    IMO, at this point in this ridiculous game of politics no one can know they can only guess from the past experiences, sorta like the weather.

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=1084075570 Tim Morris

    very smart man, romney should emply him, to defeat – DOUCE -O

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=1085891156 Susie Swanson

    That makes me sick to my stomach…We can’t take 4 more years of this…

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=654442922 Richard Cappetto

    Its going to come down to the swing states, we have to work like crazy to get the vote out.

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100000656701086 Peggy Donovan

    He may know something we do not know… I don’t tust any of them I don’t care who they are. I also feel they will put Obama back. Makes me sick to even think of it, but no one in the republican party is doing anything about all they know about Obama. Sop they must all be working together to get him elected again,.

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=1120753572 Carolyn Reilly

    sorry i can’t stop seeing m.c. rove in my head now…

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100000014285959 Carol Hoyt

    He probably understands that Paul supporters will not vote for a progressive like Romney, so Romney is unelectable.

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=540828483 Marie Wagenaar

    I do not trust Karl Rove! He helped put a Democrat in the Senate when he trashed Christine O’Donnell. He’s a traitor.

  • Cheenna

    Of course oshyster will win with all the voting being tabulated in Spain on machines owned by Soros. Why doesn’t anyone get that and start raising Hell over it?!!

  • henry knox

    It is totally unbelievable that we are having this conversation. Any other President that was such a failure and so obviously anti-American wouldn’t have a chance. Unfortunately, this means we have a huge block of Communists in this country whether they will admit it or not.

  • GPM

    Why aren’t we all flogging for Ron Paul in a brokered convention. Many real (not paid-for by GOP) polls show that he can beat the anointed one. Romney can’t.

    It seems that too many of the people who should be rabid Paul supporters have – once again – drunk the Kool Aide and think that only a pre-approved, bought and paid for shill for the banks and Soros can win. Romney is both.

    FWIW, Is Romney a Liberal or Conservative today. I can’t keep track. He switches fasted than a chameleon on acid on a Paisley shirt.